Friday, 8 October 2010

Copenhagen Reprise?

On the penultimate day of the climate talks at Tianjin, the news is not good.
See the Guardian article here

The US and China are in conflict.

The US wants to build on the Copenhagen accord by co-ordinating national agreements and instituting an enforcement regime, with developing and developed nations commited to it.

China wants to preserve the two track approach based on the Kyoto protocol. With richer, more developed, nations making the first and heaviest emissions cuts.

While Europe, the least developed nations and some of the big rapidly developing nations like Brazil and South Africa seem ready to compromise, China and the US do not seem to be willing to do so.

Huang Huikang, China's special representative for climate negotiations is reported to have said
"I want to emphasise on our side no compromise on the two track process and no compromise on the interests of developing countries."

This would seem to reduce the likliehood of anything concrete coming out of the upcoming talks in Cancun and it raises the question of what will happen after 2012 when the Kyoto protocol lapses, if there is no treaty in place?

As Akira Yamada, Japan's negotiator, pointed out
"The Kyoto protocol parties emit only 28% of global emissions now and will be less and less in the future. It cannot be effective unless the world's first and second biggest emitter are involved,"

It seems to be the National Economic Interest again, with China and the US looking to economic rivalry in the future.

We do not have time for this!

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